The projected full game total is 13.56 runs. The New York Yankees' starting pitcher holds a SIERA advantage over the Kansas City Royals' starter, as indicated by the statistical differential favoring the away team.
The New York Yankees' lineup shows a wOBA advantage against the opposing handedness, favoring the away team. Our model projects the Kansas City Royals to score 7.77 runs and the New York Yankees to score 5.79 runs, leading to a projected full game total of 13.56 runs. This offensive environment supports the Over 8.5 (-122) with a 37.5% expected value edge.